The Missing Liquidity for High-Quality Early Childhood Education (ECE) is recovered in manner very much like the CMO. This is a raw edit of questions to Grok
Written by Thomas D. Wolfgram
Part 1 of FED Set 3 is a raw edit of questions to Grok AI.
Per Grok AI, lets look at this picture on this website’s higher-level explanation of a Collateralized Mortgage Obligation. Still commonly used to create liquidity on Wall Street; https://angeloakcapital.com/wp-content/uploads/SECUR-2.jpg. and www.angeloakcapital.com
And, Replace the parts as follows:
Families for the Mortgagers
Individual Investors for the Mortgage Originator
The RRFC passing the ERDS-RA also named Early High-Quality Full Employment to The FED as monetary policy assets
USAValuesDebitBond as the CMO with 5 tranches for worst, bad, good, better, best ECE outcomes.
Per Grok AI, mortgage securitization is the process of pooling individual mortgages (or other loans) into a larger portfolio and issuing securities backed by the cash flows from those loans' principal and interest payments. This transforms illiquid assets (mortgages held by lenders) into tradable securities that investors can buy and sell.
Standard Mortgage Securitization Mechanics (Step-by-Step)
Origination: A borrower obtains a mortgage from a lender (bank, credit union, or mortgage company). The loan is secured by the property (home).
Sale/Assignment: The lender sells the mortgage note (the borrower's promise to pay) to a securitizer. This can be:
Government-Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) like Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac (for conforming loans meeting size/credit standards).
Ginnie Mae (for government-backed loans like FHA/VA).
Private issuers (investment banks) for "private-label" or non-agency MBS.
Pooling: Similar mortgages are aggregated into a pool or trust (Special Purpose Vehicle/SPV). This diversifies risk across many loans.
Securitization/Issuance:
The pool backs the issuance of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS).
Pass-through MBS (most common for agency securities): Investors receive a pro-rata share of the monthly principal + interest (P&I) payments from the pool, minus servicing/guarantee fees.
Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs): More complex; cash flows are divided into tranches (slices) with different priorities, maturities, and risk levels (e.g., senior tranches paid first, junior/equity tranches absorb losses first). This creates securities with varying risk/return profiles.
Servicing and Payments: A servicer (often the original lender or a third party) collects payments from borrowers and forwards them (net of fees) to the trust/investors. The servicer handles delinquencies, foreclosures, etc.
Investor Purchase and Trading: Institutional investors (pension funds, insurance companies, mutual funds, hedge funds) buy the MBS. Agency MBS carry guarantees of timely P&I payments (credit risk largely shifted to the GSEs/government). Private-label MBS rely on the underlying loan quality, overcollateralization, and tranching for credit enhancement; they were heavily involved in the 2008 crisis due to subprime exposure.
Key Benefits:
Provides liquidity to originators → they can make more loans without tying up capital long-term.
Transfers and disperses risk.
Lowers mortgage rates for borrowers by attracting broad capital markets funding.
Allows investors to access real estate exposure with liquidity.
Risks and Criticisms:
Prepayment risk (borrowers refinance or pay off early).
Credit risk (defaults).
In the "originate-to-distribute" model, originators may have less incentive for strict underwriting (contributed to 2008 issues in private-label segment).
Systemic risk from interconnected markets and complexity (tranches, derivatives).
Agency MBS (Fannie/Freddie/Ginnie) dominate the U.S. market and provide stability via implicit/explicit government support. Private-label securitization is smaller post-2008 but exists for jumbo or non-conforming loans.
Per TDW, Now we discuss with Grok AI. the operation of a RRFC at the county level https://www.usa-positive-expectations.com/support-files/countylevelsolutionreduced.pdf
- The parent and ECE provider
The individual Investor because the ERSD-RA loan is guaranteed by the RRFC
The RRFC county wide Development Company
- The buyer of the ERSD-RA asset
- The aggregator of ERSD-RA and PVofPE-Prek Rated Assets into USAValuesDebitBonds, (The Early High-Quality Full Employment)
- The Speculator who holds the DebitBonds until sold to the FED
- The developer who creates the local ROI based on the ERSD-RA
- The developer who regulates the ECE provider (lower cost) like a public kindergarten is regulated
- The developer who drives private sector market to the elimination of public sector age 3-6 ECE and converts the county public school system from K-12 to 1-10.
The FED as the ultimate guarantor and gift giver to create “receipts money” for the US Treasury after the private sector does all the work to create the present value.
The US Treasury who benefits from the monetary policy.
The detail activity of the RRFC is not the subject of this set of questions. It is covered elsewhere but the structure is needed to see the whole picture. The private money is brought into the county by the parents and the individual investor because the principal loan of $1,000 per month or $36,000 in total is guaranteed by the RRFC in payback. The loan’s interest is paid for by the parent and the ECE provider as skin in the game. The loan contract principal builds for 3 years until it is purchased by the RRFC for $36,000. This liquidity is a gift from the private sector to each and every child in the county and sets off saving processes.
The RRFC is a private sector development company involved in everything age 0-18 to build on age 0-6 ERSD-RA. It is capitalized at no less than 1 part equity and 2 parts debt. It adds cost and value to the $36,000 to say $54-$72,000 before the ERSD-RA unit is sold to the FED so that it can be gifted to the US Treasury at its present market value of $1,000,000 for Best Outcomes.
The discussion of selling the cost of the unit to the FED is all about monetary policy of delivering brain gold reserves to the US Treasury in the creation of “receipts money” for deficit reduction and maintaining the confidence of the middle class in the world currency dollar.
The discussion with Grok Follows:
Key idea per Grok: The structure manages and redistributes risk rather than eliminating it. This is a classic example of structured finance — pooling assets, creating a trust/SPV, and issuing securities backed by the cash flows.
The PDF describes a county-by-county private-sector system for funding high-quality Early Childhood Education (ECE, ages 0-6) using a structured finance-like mechanism. It is not exactly a CMO, but it borrows several structural ideas while applying them to “human capital” / ECE outcomes (the asset) instead of real estate mortgages (the loan/debt). It is framed as a “reverse” or outcome-based collateralized structure. Here’s a side-by-side mapping:
|
Element in Standard CMO |
Parallel in PDF’s County ECE Structure |
Key Difference |
|
Mortgagors (borrowers) |
Parents + ECE providers |
Parents/ECE providers pay interest (“skin in the game”); principal comes from investor |
|
Mortgage Originator / Pool |
Individual Investor originates ERSD-RA loan (~$1,000/month or $36k over 3 years) |
Loan is for ECE participation, not a home |
|
Pass-Through MBS |
RRFC buys the ERSD-RA asset after 3 years for $36k |
RRFC acts as aggregator and value-adder |
|
CMO Tranches / Structuring |
RRFC aggregates many ERSD-RA, the PVofPE-Prek assets into USAValuesDebitBonds |
One central county development company handles aggregation, development, and speculation defining multiple tranches |
|
Investors buying tranches |
Individual investors + RRFC as speculator/holder until sale to FED |
RRFC holds and marks up value before selling |
|
Guarantees / Credit Enhancement |
RRFC guarantees payback; FED purchase is ultimate guarantor |
Heavy private sector backstop via FED monetary policy |
|
Cash flows to investors |
Repayments + marked-up sale to FED → gifted to US Treasury at ~$1M present value per “Best ECE Outcome” unit |
Monetization happens through FED creating “receipts money” and deficit reduction, individual investor is paid back for its loan. |
|
Risk distr.. |
Risk transferred from parents/investors → RRFC → FED/Treasury |
Risk ultimately privatized by RRFC and sale or non-sale to the FED is the speculation. The process of sale to FED is not certain, at this time. |
How the PDF structure works at a high level (first three points you highlighted):
Parent and ECE
Provider
They provide “skin in the game” by paying the interest on the loan. The
principal (~$36k over 3 years) funds high-quality ECE.
Individual
Investor
Supplies the principal capital for the ERSD-RA loan. They get a guaranteed
payback from the RRFC (county development company). This is the entry point for
private money.
RRFC County-wide
Development Company (the central engine)
This private entity wears many hats:
Buyer of the ERSD-RA asset after 3 years.
Aggregator that pools many such assets into USAValuesDebitBonds. Say 1,000 Children.
Speculator/holder that adds value (bringing the unit from $36k up to $54k–$72k through local development and ROI creation).
Regulator/developer that oversees ECE providers (aiming for lower cost, high quality, similar to public first grade standards).
Driver of systemic change: pushes to eliminate public-sector age 3-6 ECE and shifts the county public school system from K-12 toward 1-10.
Ultimately sells the enhanced unit of ERSD-RA to the FED. It is speculation until the FED purchases the asset.
TDW says mark to market happens at the US Treasury because the transaction is a gift and the value is how much debt can be paid down.
TDW continues, the FED then acts as the ultimate private sector monetary backstop/guarantor and “gift giver,” marking the asset up dramatically to a present market value of ~$1,000,000 per “Best ECE Outcomes” unit and transferring that value to the US Treasury. This is positioned as creating “receipts money,” reducing deficits, and strengthening the dollar through “brain gold reserves.”
Is This Concept Agreeable to Me? (Grok)
Agreeable aspects:
Evidence-based foundation: Early childhood education has some of the highest documented ROI in social policy (Heckman and others). Using structured finance to scale proven interventions is creative.
Private sector + skin in the game: Requiring interest payments from parents/providers and using county-level private development companies introduces accountability and local control that pure government programs often lack.
Structured finance analogy: Pooling assets (ERSD-RA loans), aggregating them, adding value, and creating investable instruments (USAValuesDebitBonds) is a logical extension of CMO-style thinking applied to social outcomes.
County-by-county approach: Allows experimentation and tailoring rather than one-size-fits-all national policy.
Focus on outcomes and ROI: Tying funding to measurable “Best ECE Outcomes” is directionally good.
See the next two continuation articles
Article author
About the Author
Thomas D. Wolfgram is an OWNER, DEVELOPER, CREATOR, CHIEF retired OPERATIONS OFFICER, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER AND CONSULTANT He has a 30-year concentration on USA VALUES, LLC. and is driven by the simplicity of created continuous improvement via Theory of Constraints thinking and basic definitions of high-quality within the private and public sector. Desire for high-quality includes the Socratic definition of what is first things first to change. The private sector will need to fill the "void" in equal opportunity being left by the public sector. The void is so great that it will never be filled without the help of the Federal Reserve Bank (FED).
These FED Set Articles are an exploration with Grok AI as an expert bringing the expertise of many 1980 to 2020 writings of effective concepts to the opportunity and expectation that the private sector could be engaged by the FED in a FED NEXT pivot away from moral hazard. The nation needs true equal opportunity as a part of a new Early High-Quality Full Employment Monetary Policy.
Further reading
Further Reading
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